Tesla Stock Price Prediction for 2025: $TSLA to Finally Hit ATH’s of $415
Being a Tesla shareholder is similar to being a masochist. You just love the pain. Tesla stock has been stuck in a rut from late April of 2022 – when it fell below $300 and has only twice reclaimed it. Let’s use fundamentals, sentiment and some technical analysis to make our Tesla stock price prediction 2025.
Table of Contents
Tesla overview and headwinds
All jokes aside about needing to be a masochist to be a Tesla shareholder, the stock has taken a beating since CEO Elon Musk purchased X.
In turn, this has led to institutional and retail investors alike worried about the future of the EV-giant Tesla.
We must preface by saying that Musk buying X was unequivocally the best move for free speech and humanity.
Was it the right move for a CEO of a fortune-500 company?
If you ask $TSLA shareholders in early 2024 – when the stock seems to be stuck in the low $200 level, the answer would be no.
But here at BlueChipBuzz, we never invest in a company unless we fully trust the leadership teams’ vision.
In Tesla’s case, we do.
Granted, they could use some better PR firms to prop them up in the corporate media.
The purchase of X and Elon expressing his worldview to millions aside, we are mega bullish on Tesla.
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Tesla stock catalysts for 2024 and 2025
It’s hard to write about the future of Tesla without mentioning the Cybertruck.
Tesla’s iconic design and breakthrough into the world of ‘futuristic’ pickup trucks has been a mixed bag at the time of writing this.
Some critics of Tesla have knocked the Cybertruck for being much too about looks and not enough practicality.
One common complaint is about the marketed range of up to 340 miles. A Reddit user (so yes, we’re taking that with a grain of salt), claims to have driven the truck for 10,000 miles and says the real range is closer to 164-206 miles.
Being a Tesla owner ourselves, we can surmise that this person lives in freezing cold temperatures, causing the Tesla’s battery to die out quicker.
However, if that’s the case for most Cybertrucks, Tesla will have to overcome bad PR, which they are accustomed to.
Regardless of range, if Cybertruck sales are good throughout 2024, this can be a positive catalyst for the stock.
Gary Black, who is a Managing Partner at The Future Fund LLC, frequently updates his own Tesla catalysts.
We highly recommend following him on X, if you don’t already.
There are two critical catalysts for $TSLA to highlight from his list. Starting with the $7,500 instant EV rebate set to begin in Q1 2024.
This will make purchasing an EV feel much cheaper for the first-time buyer. The second catalyst on his list is a potential $10B share buyback from the company.
Whether he heard whispers from within the company of this happening or not is interesting.
After Musk had to personally sell $4B of shares in 2022 (to fund X), investors have been clamoring for the company to start using cash to buy them back.
Let’s dive in to our Tesla Stock 2025 prediction, under the assumption that the above scenarios play out.
Tesla Stock Price Prediction 2024
Now that we’ve given some overview to sentiment and fundamentals, we can begin our technical analysis of the stock.
But a word to the wise, sometimes $TSLA just doesn’t react to positive news anymore. Gone are the days of Elon firing off a cryptic tweet in 2020, subsequently boosting shares 5%.
In our first $TSLA chart analysis, we can see resistance levels in 2024 coming around the $250 psychological threshold.
Jake Wujastyk on X, identifies a key area for $TSLA — where the stock typically bounces on lows and eventually recovers to the $250 level.
This means that investors may take some gains around that level – causing shares to fall again. However, it could also signal a long trigger to bullish upside.
In this event, which we think is more likely with the Fed expected to cut rates upwards of six times in 2024, this should start a breakout not seen since Oct. of 2021.
Once $250 is hit — we expect to see the stock rally to $300 by the end of 2024.
Tesla Stock Price Prediction 2025
Let’s operate under the projection that $TSLA is trading at or above $300 to start 2025.
From the $300 level – there should be enough sentiment – and perhaps a new administration in the US to help level out weak economic concerns.
From $300 – we project $TSLA to trade sideways through Jan. and mid Feb. of 2025 – with another slight buying opportunity around $298 at its lowest point.
In this projection we can see on the chart above – zoom in for mobile users – that from $298 – $TSLA should begin another breakout to levels around $380 in mid 2025.
From $380, we forecast $TSLA to face some selling pressure again, as that will be a psychological level close to its ATH’s ($407).
With some sell offs, we can’t see $TSLA falling too low in 2025. We forecast Tesla to spring back up and finish around the $415 level as a nice Christmas present in 2025.
Summary for $TSLA forecast 2025
While it won’t be pretty – our fundamental and technical analysis forecast $TSLA to be trading around $415 come Christmas of 2025. The road up will be slow – and then seemingly overnight the stock will rip with certain days accounting for 8-10% gains. We are bullish on the company but warn investors to DYOR (do your own research) prior to making any investments.
When investing in Tesla, know that there will be highs and there will be lows. With the current tense climate in the US, Musk is being attacked from all sides of the political aisles. When investing in $TSLA, it’s crucial to focus on the long-term potential of the EV giant. And besides, Musk has a pretty good track record, right?
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